Realized price assigns cost basis to moving coins, crucial for on-chain market cap analysis.
MVRV ratio indicates market sentiment and participant profit margins, offering insights into market health.
Deep dives
Understanding Realized Price and Its Importance
Realized price, based on price stamping, assigns a cost basis to each coin that moves on-chain. It is considered a fundamental metric to comprehend the on-chain market cap. The Realized cap represents the wealth saved in Bitcoin by measuring capital invested and saved in the asset. Price stamping assigns a cost basis to every moving coin, offering a clean signal in aggregate.
Exploring MVRV as an Indicator of Market Sentiment
MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) ratio reflects the average unrealized profit or loss held by the market. Higher values indicate profit and vice versa for losses, with a value of 1.0 representing the break-even level. MVRV considers the average coin cost basis and market price, offering insights into market sentiment and participants' profit margins. It helps gauge market health and participants' reactions to price movements.
Analyzing Short-Term Holder Supply and Loss Dynamics
Short-term holder supply and loss dynamics reveal market conditions during corrections. A significant portion of short-term coins went underwater during the recent correction, testing holders' resolve without shattering sentiment. The dip in short-term holders in profit signaled a test of holders' resilience, with subsequent recovery indicating supportive capital and a positive market sentiment.
Interpreting Short-Term Holder Profit Supply and Its Implications
The pop in short-term holders in profit supply signifies a shift towards healthier market conditions post-correction. The recovery of short-term holders into profit reflects increased confidence and stability in the market. This uptick suggests a positive market sentiment, with short-term holders being rewarded for buying the dip and reinforcing a bullish market outlook.
In this episode, Nik is joined by bitcoin on-chain analyst James Check (Checkmate). They present an overview of realized price and MVRV, two of bitcoin's foundational on-chain metrics to help people understand the importance of this new study. Checkmate presents bitcoin market analysis and his highest signal on-chain charts to demonstrate why he believes bitcoin is exhibiting classic bull market behavior. Nik finishes with some bullish thoughts on bitcoin's maturation.
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