BFBS Radio Sitrep Are we preparing for the wrong war?
Jul 3, 2025
In this engaging conversation, Professor Sir Lawrence Freedman, an esteemed figure in war studies, challenges the 'short war fallacy' and stresses the need for military strategies to evolve in today's complex landscape. Aviation historian Victoria Taylor sheds light on the untold stories of the Luftwaffe during the Battle of Britain, emphasizing how historical narratives shape our understanding of conflict. The discussion navigates modern warfare's intricacies, military preparedness, and the political dimensions of defense strategy, underscoring the balance between military action and diplomatic efforts.
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The Short War Fallacy
- Military strategists often fall into the "short war fallacy," expecting conflicts to end quickly rather than persist for years.
- Preparing for longer wars requires balancing quality and mass, something Western militaries struggle with currently.
Sustainment Beyond Ammunition
- Sustaining warfare requires societal resilience, not just military ammunition stocks.
- The public's willingness to accept ongoing sacrifices for security is uncertain and often not engaged in the strategic discussions.
War and Peace are Blurred
- Although long wars are difficult for democracies to sustain, political objectives often blur the line between peace and hostilities.
- New threats like cyber and sabotage require constant preparedness even outside declared wars.