Cato Daily Podcast
Don't Get Your Hopes Up for a New Iran Nuclear Deal
Sep 24, 2024
Justin Logan, an analyst skeptical about the likelihood of a new nuclear deal with Iran, shares his insights on the complexities of the situation. He argues that hopes for renewing the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) are misguided. The discussion highlights Iran's escalating nuclear activities since the U.S. withdrawal in 2018 and the challenges of negotiating with a regime while simultaneously pushing for regime change. Logan details the geopolitical implications and potential crises related to uranium enrichment that could arise.
09:54
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Quick takeaways
- The original JCPOA aimed to limit Iran's nuclear ambitions through sanctions relief but is now largely seen as ineffective following the U.S. withdrawal.
- Negotiating a renewed nuclear agreement with Iran faces significant hurdles and may escalate tensions without addressing the broader geopolitical issues.
Deep dives
Challenges of Renewing the JCPOA
Renewing the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) faces significant challenges, as the agreement now appears to be defunct. The initial intent of the JCPOA was to curtail Iran's nuclear ambitions by providing economic sanctions relief in exchange for reduced nuclear activity. However, after the U.S. withdrawal in 2018, Iran resumed its nuclear program, progressing toward enriched uranium levels that could potentially lead to weaponization. This complex situation is further complicated by the fact that there is little indication the U.S. or its allies can successfully negotiate a new or modified agreement that addresses both current nuclear concerns and the underlying tensions with the Iranian regime.
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