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Hard Assets Are Your Insurance Now | Lobo Tiggre on Today’s AI Mania, Credit Cracks & Gold

Nov 20, 2025
Lobo Tiggre, a macro commentator and publisher of The Independent Speculator, discusses the hidden fragility in today's financial markets. He warns of a potential ‘waterfall event’ akin to the 2008 crash, driven by AI mania and private credit risks. Lobo elaborates on the K-shaped economy and the mounting stresses on lower-income households. He likens current AI exuberance to past market bubbles and emphasizes the importance of real assets like gold as essential portfolio insurance amid increasing market vulnerabilities.
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INSIGHT

K-Shaped Economy Raises Systemic Fragility

  • The economy is increasingly K-shaped, with lower-income groups suffering while the top benefits from liquidity and AI gains.
  • This divergence raises systemic fragility because broad prosperity is not supporting asset prices widely.
INSIGHT

AI Mania Mirrors Dot‑Com Risks

  • AI enthusiasm resembles a bubble similar to the dot-com mania with winners but many wiped-out fortunes.
  • When speculative froth disintegrates it will show clear warning signs before a full collapse.
ANECDOTE

Investor Dinner Admits AI Bubble

  • Lobo describes a dinner with respected investors who unanimously acknowledged an AI bubble and couldn't predict its exact pop timing.
  • They agreed disruptions rarely happen overnight and you'll see warning events before major breakdowns.
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