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Deep Dish on Global Affairs
The Debate on US Strategy in Taiwan-China Relations
Jul 20, 2023
Tensions between Taiwan and China are debated. Should the US prioritize military deterrence or political solutions? The importance of maintaining deterrence and Taiwan's resistance capabilities is discussed. The need for political and diplomatic assurance is emphasized. The US should keep an open door policy with China and determine limits on arms sales to avoid provocation. Alternative policy approaches and the importance of US-Taiwan-China relations are explored.
44:27
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Quick takeaways
- Bolstering deterrence and shaping Xi Jinping's calculation can raise the costs for aggressive action against Taiwan, helping to avoid a conflict in the Taiwan Strait.
- Striking the right balance between deterrence and reassurance is crucial in US-China-Taiwan relations to mitigate the risk of a conflict, emphasizing the importance of credible political and diplomatic reassurance.
Deep dives
The Growing Concern of a Possible War Between China and the US Over Taiwan
Tensions between China and the US have increased in recent years, raising the possibility of an armed conflict over Taiwan. There is a debate on how to avoid war, with disagreement over the best course of action. China's military capabilities, intentions of President Xi Jinping, and its assertive actions in other contexts are factors contributing to the concern. While conflict is not imminent or inevitable, there is a need for a smart mix of policies to deter a conflict in the Taiwan Strait. The US should bolster deterrence and shape Xi Jinping's calculation to raise the costs for aggressive action against Taiwan.
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