SDR Threat series - Missile Defence (you can't defend everything)
Dec 18, 2024
auto_awesome
Tom Karako, a global missile defense expert from CSIS, shares his insights on the UK’s missile defense inadequacies amidst growing threats. He discusses the evolving landscape of missile capabilities stemming from recent global conflicts and the necessity for stronger defense infrastructures. Tom highlights the challenges faced by European militaries in modernizing legacy systems, and he dives into the potential of non-kinetic technologies like lasers. His pragmatism offers a roadmap for future defense strategies and success metrics for upcoming UK capabilities.
The evolving missile threat landscape demands that countries like the UK reassess and enhance their defense capabilities against diverse missile types.
A multifaceted approach, integrating both kinetic and non-kinetic technologies, is essential for developing effective air and missile defense strategies.
Deep dives
Assessment of Missile Threats
The current missile threat landscape has significantly evolved, highlighting an urgent need for improved defenses. Countries, including the UK, have historically underestimated missile threats due to geographical advantages, believing they were immune to such attacks. However, recent conflicts, particularly in Ukraine and Israel, have showcased the ferocity and frequency of missile strikes, prompting a reassessment of traditional defense theories. Analysts emphasize that the spectrum of threats now includes a diverse range of missile types, from small drones to hypersonic missiles, necessitating comprehensive air and missile defense strategies.
The Importance of Comprehensive Defense Strategies
Developing a robust missile defense system involves much more than just interceptors; it requires a multifaceted approach. Effective detection and tracking of incoming threats are crucial for preemptive measures, as well as robust command and control for engagement decisions. Coordinated responses to a mix of threat types introduced by coordinated attacks create a complex challenge for defense systems. As demonstrated in recent attacks, the coordination of various missile types can overwhelm traditional defenses, underscoring the need for an integrated multi-layered defense system.
Evolving Technology in Missile Defense
Advancements in technology are reshaping missile defense capabilities, including the exploration of non-kinetic options like lasers and high-powered microwaves. These technologies offer cost-effective alternatives to traditional interceptors, particularly for low-altitude threats such as drones. While these systems present promising solutions, their effectiveness can be challenged by environmental factors like fog or dust storms. Analysts caution that while kinetic defenses remain essential, a balanced approach incorporating both kinetic and non-kinetic methods will enhance overall response capabilities against the advancing missile threat spectrum.
Strategic Priorities and Resource Allocation
Defining strategic priorities in missile defense is vital for effective allocation of resources in both funding and capability development. Countries need to make hard decisions about which threats to focus on, ensuring that capabilities align with national security interests. Providing a clear roadmap for funding, alongside defined metrics for success in defense reviews, is necessary to avoid empty promises and ensure substantial progress. Collaborative efforts across nations to build defense capacity against shared threats will be critical, especially in an age where missile technology continues to proliferate rapidly.
Successive reports from the UK parliament since 2022 have highlight the inadequacies of air and missile defences in the UK against a growing threat envelope. Like many European states, missile defence – from UAVs, conventional, ballistic or hypersonic missiles – has been an area that successive governments have underinvested in. Events in Ukraine, Syria, Yemen and Israel make those points with rather startling clarity. Part of the remit that the UK SDR has been charged with is a ‘so what’ moment on missile defence. What would good look like? What would it cost? Are we (in the UK and other European states) starting from scratch or is there an existing baseline to build on? One of the global IAMD experts and gurus in such matters is Tom Karako from CSIS in Washington DC. His pragmatism on what can be delivered, what must be defended against, and success looks like is noteworthy. As a finale, Tom offers some metrics of success of any UK announcement of a missile defence capability for the UK that is announced over the coming year.
Get the Snipd podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share & Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode