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In this podcast, Pompliano discusses the upcoming Bitcoin supercycle, Bitcoin halving, global liquidity, interest rates, gold, volatility, El Salvador, and Microstrategy. He also introduces a portable display product and a sports betting platform as sponsors. Subscribe to his daily letter for insightful industry opinions and check out open startup jobs and enroll in the Crypto Academy.
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Quick takeaways
- Historical bitcoin cycles show significant gains post-halving with lower volatility than past markets.
- Bitcoin's price movements now reflect broader global liquidity trends over traditional narratives like interest rates.
Deep dives
Bitcoin's Historical Behavior in Bull Markets and Drawdowns
During Bitcoin's history, each halving event has been followed by all-time high prices and significant price increases within the next 18 months, often reaching hundreds or even thousands of percent gains. Despite these bullish trends, past bull markets have also experienced multiple drawdowns, with volatility including corrections of 10%, 20%, or even 30%. The current 15% drawdown in the Bitcoin price is comparatively lower than historical averages, suggesting potentially less volatility in the current market.
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