AJ Osborne Podcast

14. America’s Unfixable Economy: Are We Headed for Another Great Depression? w/Economist Lauren Saidel-Baker

Jan 30, 2025
Economist Lauren Saidel-Baker from ITR Economics shares her alarming predictions about an impending depression by 2030, driven by government actions rather than traditional market failures. She discusses immense investment opportunities arising from the predicted downturn and explores the fluctuating housing market and rising interest rates. Additionally, Lauren highlights the impact of labor shortages and AI on productivity, as well as the implications of geopolitical conflicts on the U.S. economy. Prepare for significant changes as we navigate these economic shifts!
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INSIGHT

Economic Inflection Point

  • The economy is at an inflection point, creating both danger and opportunity.
  • Different sectors like residential and non-residential construction move through cycles at different paces.
INSIGHT

Housing Affordability Crisis

  • High home prices and mortgage rates create affordability challenges, dampening existing home sales.
  • This, in turn, disincentivizes new home construction despite a housing shortage.
ADVICE

Borrowing Advice

  • Don't try to perfectly time the market bottom for borrowing money.
  • If borrowing makes sense for investment, now is a reasonable time.
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