World in 10

Could this be the moment for a Gaza ceasefire?

Jul 2, 2025
Nomi Bar-Yaacov, an international peace negotiator specializing in conflict management, dives into the complexities of the Gaza ceasefire negotiations. She discusses Donald Trump’s involvement and the shifting dynamics between Israel and Hamas. Nomi highlights the critical challenges mediators face, including U.S. influence and the fragmented Palestinian political landscape. The conversation also emphasizes the need for effective governance and monitoring to achieve lasting peace, set against the backdrop of a humanitarian crisis.
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INSIGHT

Israel's Military Success and Hamas' Position

  • Israel dismantled most of Hamas' military battalions more than a year ago, losing effective control over Gaza.
  • Hamas is ready to hand over control but only under terms that protect their interests, especially regarding future Israeli military actions.
ADVICE

Urgency in Hostage Release

  • Mediators should push for an immediate agreement on releasing all hostages rather than a prolonged 60-day deal.
  • Prolonging the ceasefire risks worsening Gaza's hunger crisis and complicates peace efforts unnecessarily.
INSIGHT

Keys to Sustainable Ceasefire

  • A sustainable ceasefire requires US-backed monitoring, verification, and guarantees to manage violations.
  • A technocratic Palestinian body, supported by regional states, should govern Gaza to ensure lasting stability.
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