The Milk Road Show

Will Bitcoin Drop to $56K? How to Survive the Downtrend w/ Matt Crosby

8 snips
Dec 1, 2025
Guest
Matt Crosby
Join macro analyst Matt Crosby, known for his insights in Bitcoin analysis, as he shares his shifting perspective on the market. He discusses the pivotal moment when Bitcoin broke the $100K mark and analyzes on-chain signals that triggered his cautious stance. Delve into Bitcoin's performance compared to gold, institutional flows, and critical price levels to watch, like $56K. Learn about the challenges of buying during capitulation and why a disciplined approach is essential in today's volatile climate.
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ADVICE

Wait For Macro Confirmation

  • Wait for macro confirmation before aggressively buying the dip.
  • Preserve capital and scale in only after trend and macro pivots appear.
INSIGHT

$100K Was The Structural Tipping Point

  • Breaking beneath $100,000 changed the market structure and flipped probabilities toward downside.
  • Beneath the one-year moving average historically signals a bear cycle.
INSIGHT

Coin Days Destroyed Matches Cycle Tops And Lows

  • Coin Days Destroyed peaks aligned with cycle price tops and spiked now like past bear capitulations.
  • Recent spikes suggest experienced holders are realizing gains or capitulating at current levels.
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