Innovation Richter Scale: How Much Do Technology and Ideas Change World History?

Innovations have huge impacts on humanity. We build out a system to rank world change.

Everything seems so important these days:

• This war will BREAK the economy
• If you feed your toddler THIS, you don't deserve to be a parent
• A new iPhone update changes EVERYTHING...

We sense check what matters to humanity and what is just noise.

It's easy to tell that the invention of Writing itself is more important than Velcro. But...

• Is Netflix more important than Baseball?
• Has TikTok changed the world as much as the Longbow?
• Was Steve Jobs more impactful than Henry VIII?

History has opinions.

So it's time to build a scale that lets us rationally measure global impact.

Introducing the Innovation Richter Scale. A 1 to 10 rating system that lets you rank absolutely anything you can think of.

NOTE - This episode expands on the Technological Richter Scale proposed by Nate Silver.

ABOUT

How to Change the World is an independent podcast on a mission to document the entire history of innovation. One world-changing event at a time. In the process we are building out frameworks and mental models to think more coherently about global change.

Learn more and contact us - ChangeTheWorldPod.com

Written, edited, recorded, and produced by Sam Webster Harris. (incl the music)

Help from:

Designs - Francisca Correia (available to hire)

Mentorship - Jeremy Enns (available to hire)

References

Nate Silver - One The Edge (2024)

Nate's book is about risk analysis and the future of AI. The final chapter proposes a Technological Richter Scale, with a page on how to use it.

Zvi Mowshowitz - AI and the Technological Richter Scale (2025)

A good summary of Nate's ideas, on how the scale applies to AI. Also quotes Nate's page guide for each level and argues a few changes.

Chapters:

00:00 Innovation Richter Scale

01:47 Why create a Scale?

03:47 Earthquake Metaphor

06:16 Invention, Innovation, Technology

06:56 Ranking Magnitude not Morality

08:08 The Innovation Richter Scale - Level 1 - 10

08:11 Level 1 - Shower thoughts

08:29 Level 2 - Actioned Idea (In private)

08:49 Level 3 - Public ideas (Not popular)

10:17 Level 4 - Popular and commercial ideas

11:08 Level 5 - Defining Brand

12:38 Level 6 - Innovation of the year

15:59 Level 7 - Innovation of the Decade

18:19 Level 8 - Innovation of the Century

21:29 Level 9 - Innovation of the Era

23:53 Level 10 - Species Epoch

28:31 Part 2 - Using the scale

29:45 Weapons & Tools of Death - Brands, Categories and Concepts

33:58 Politics & Population Impact - Local, Continental and Global

38:00 Questions without answers

38:38 Sports & Religion - Emotional Impact and Purpose

41:01 Peter Thiel and Chess

41:47 Religion and Personal Beliefs in interpreting the scale

43:33 Roundup conclusions

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