The Ben Shapiro Show Ep. 989 - The Questions That Need Answers
Apr 8, 2020
The discussion kicks off with the varying impacts of COVID-19 across U.S. states, spotlighting New York's tragic death toll. Insights into how population density influenced the virus's spread shed light on contrasting strategies between states. Positive trends in health statistics are celebrated, while the complexities of COVID-19 death counts and modeling predictions are dissected. The ongoing political dynamics, including Biden's campaign strategies and leadership tensions during the pandemic, reveal the intricate balance of governance amid crises.
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Downgraded Death Predictions
- The IMHE model, predicting COVID-19 deaths, has been repeatedly downgraded.
- This suggests initial data overestimated transmission rates or death rates, or underestimated lockdown effectiveness.
Key Questions About COVID-19
- Three crucial questions about COVID-19 remain: true fatality rate, nature of a second wave, and optimal policy response.
- Current data, like case fatality rates, are unreliable due to flawed denominators and potential undercounting of deaths.
Antibody Testing for Accurate Data
- Use antibody tests ("zero surveys") to determine the true number of infected individuals.
- This will help calculate a more accurate fatality rate and inform better policy decisions.