Andrzej Skiba, RBC Global Asset Management, on Dynamics in the 2024 Leveraged Finance Market.
Mar 25, 2024
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Andrzej Skiba, managing director at RBC Global Asset Management, discusses dynamics in the 2024 leveraged finance market including market conditions, defaults, and the impact of inflation. The podcast also explores trends in fixed vs. floating rate debt, competition between private credit lenders and syndicated loan market, and bankruptcy cases overview.
Market conditions in leveraged finance are healthy, but concerns about inflation's impact on issuance are prevalent.
Default rates in leveraged finance are around 3%, with higher rates in loans than bonds due to sector leverage.
Deep dives
Market Conditions and Inflation Concerns Impact Leverage Finance Market
Market conditions in the leverage finance markets are currently healthy, but concerns about inflation's effect on new primary issuance are looming. The pace of rate cuts by the Fed will likely be influenced by inflation, potentially impacting M&A activity and sentiment towards leverage finance assets. While there is a preference for both floating and fixed-rate debt, investors are cautious about future rate cuts and seek exposure based on their outlook for interest rates.
Default Rates and Market Competition Between Leverage Loan and Private Credit Lenders
Default rates in the leverage finance markets are currently around 3% and may marginally increase. The default rate for bonds is lower than loans, reflecting higher leverage in certain sectors. Competition between leverage loan and private credit lenders is intense, with a narrowing gap in margins and increased deal activity in the leveraged loan market due to refinancing benefits.
Outlook for Leverage Finance Market in 2024 and Investor Behavior
Investors in the leverage finance markets are optimistic for the rest of 2024, with expectations of continued favorable conditions if inflation remains controlled and the Fed implements rate cuts. Investors remain eager to invest in fixed income assets like leverage finance due to potential strong returns. Selectivity varies among investors, with high demand for US high yield bonds, oversubscribed deals, and active repricing activities in the leveraged loan space.
This week, Reorg's senior primary market reporter Michael Haley speaks with Andrzej Skiba, managing director and head of US fixed income at RBC Global Asset Management, about what dynamics will impact the leveraged finance market in 2024. The episode includes Skiba's views on how healthy market conditions will hold up for the rest of the year for leveraged loans and high-yield bonds as well as what will happen with defaults moving forward.
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#leveragedfinance #highyield #restructuring #performingcredit #distresseddebt #debtrestructuring #leveragedloans
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