Morning Wire Election Wire: Battleground Senate
Oct 9, 2022
Cabot Phillips, a senior editor and political commentator at Daily Wire, dives into the critical Senate races shaping the midterm elections. He discusses the pivotal states of Pennsylvania, Nevada, Wisconsin, and Georgia, examining how economic issues are altering voter sentiment. The Ohio race between J.D. Vance and Tim Ryan reveals the contrasting strategies of party leadership. Phillips also addresses the challenges of polling accuracy, highlighting the phenomenon of 'submerged voters' and the need for innovative methods to capture hidden political preferences.
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Poll Manipulation
- Many polls are designed to influence the electorate, not reflect it.
- These polls often create false narratives, especially about certain races.
Inaccurate Polling Examples
- Early polls falsely depicted races like Pennsylvania, Georgia, and Ohio as blowouts for Democrats.
- They also misrepresented Ron Johnson's chances and the potential for beating Mark Kelly.
Submerged Voters
- Voters hesitant to share their political views are called "submerged voters".
- The term evolved from "shy Trump voters" in 2016 to describe those affected by social desirability bias.