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Barry Ritholtz: Cutting Through Financial Noise - [Making Markets, EP.58]

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Apr 11, 2025

Guest

Barry Ritholtz

Barry Ritholtz, the founder and CIO of Ritholtz Wealth Management, shares insights as a renowned commentator, known as the 'Prickly Prophet of Wall Street.' He discusses his new book, aiming to debunk financial myths and the importance of a critical information diet. Ritholtz emphasizes the fallacy of assuming expertise in financial advice, critiques billionaire investment models for average investors, and explores the evolving nature of market predictions. With a blend of humor and humility, he navigates the complexities of investing in today's world.

01:10:15

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ANECDOTE

Book Genesis

Barry Ritholtz explains the genesis of his book, "How Not to Invest", stemming from rediscovered notes debunking financial misinformation.
A conversation with Morgan Housel, author of "The Psychology of Money", prompted him to finally write it.

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ADVICE

Track Predictions

Track market predictions to identify recurring patterns of misinformation.
This helps recognize destructive behaviors and learn from past mistakes.

insights

INSIGHT

Hidden Agendas

Many financial commentators prioritize their own agendas over the interests of average investors.
Investors should be wary of advice that doesn't align with their financial goals.

Get the Snipd Podcast app to discover more snips from this episode

Navigating Financial Predictions

05:39 • 16min

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The Fallacy of Expertise

21:21 • 11min

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Understanding the Wealth Divide: Billionaires vs. Average Investors

32:30 • 3min

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Navigating Market Complexity

35:22 • 26min

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Rethinking Financial Advice: Coffee Costs and Car Safety

01:00:55 • 4min

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Understanding Financial Behaviors: Spending, Saving, and Retirement Insights

In 'How Not to Invest', Barry Ritholtz focuses on the pitfalls of investing by highlighting bad outcomes in finance and other fields. The book distills Ritholtz's investing philosophy, gathered from three decades of his writings, into practical advice on avoiding typical investment mistakes. It emphasizes the importance of managing risk, being unemotional, and learning from historical examples of poor investment decisions.

The Tipping Point

How Little Things Can Make a Big Difference

Malcolm Gladwell

In The Tipping Point, Malcolm Gladwell examines the phenomenon of social epidemics and how ideas, products, and behaviors spread rapidly. He introduces three key principles: the law of the few (the role of connectors, mavens, and salespeople in spreading ideas), the stickiness factor (how messages or trends must be memorable to spread), and the power of context (how environment and circumstances influence human behavior). Gladwell uses various examples, such as the rise in popularity of Hush Puppies shoes, the decline in New York City's crime rate, and the success of children's TV programs like Sesame Street, to illustrate these concepts. The book provides insights into how small changes can lead to large-scale social and behavioral transformations.

Triumph of the Optimists

101 Years of Global Investment Returns

Elroy Dimson

Mike Staunton

Paul Marsh

This book provides an authoritative account of a century of investment returns in sixteen countries, including the U.S. , U.K. , Japan, France, Germany, and others. The authors present a clear and consistent analysis of total returns, including reinvested income, and address issues such as survivorship bias and the long-term equity risk premium. The book is essential reading for investment professionals, financial economists, and investors, offering insights into the broader tendencies of equity markets over the long term.

The Psychology of Money

Timeless Lessons on Wealth, Greed, and Happiness

Morgan Housel

In 'The Psychology of Money,' Morgan Housel delves into the psychological and emotional aspects of financial decisions. The book consists of 19 short stories that illustrate how personal history, worldview, emotions, and biases influence financial outcomes. Housel emphasizes the importance of behavior over knowledge in managing money, highlighting the power of compounding, the dangers of greed, and the pursuit of happiness beyond mere wealth accumulation. He advocates for a frugal lifestyle, long-term perspective, and a balanced approach to investing, stressing that financial success is more about mindset and discipline than about technical financial knowledge.

Blink

The Power of Thinking Without Thinking

Malcolm Gladwell

In 'Blink', Malcolm Gladwell explores the concept of 'thin-slicing', the ability of our unconscious mind to make rapid decisions based on limited information. The book delves into both the strengths and pitfalls of this process, using examples from various fields such as psychology, medicine, sales, and law enforcement. Gladwell discusses how these snap judgments can be both incredibly accurate and sometimes tragically wrong, influenced by factors like prejudice, stereotypes, and psychological priming. He also examines how experts develop their intuitive judgment through experience and training, and how stressful situations can affect our decision-making abilities.

Flash Boys

A Wall Street Revolt

Michael Lewis

In 'Flash Boys: A Wall Street Revolt', Michael Lewis delves into the world of high-frequency trading (HFT) and its corrupting influence on the U.S. stock market. The book follows a group of Wall Street iconoclasts, including Brad Katsuyama and Sergey Aleynikov, as they uncover and challenge the unethical practices of HFT firms. Lewis explains how these firms use advanced technology to front-run orders, creating a rigged market that benefits insiders at the expense of ordinary investors. The narrative is engaging and accessible, making complex financial concepts understandable for a broad audience. The book highlights the efforts of these individuals to reform the market and restore fairness, and it has had significant impact, including prompting investigations and public discussions about market structure and fairness.

The big picture

Derek Monsey

Nobody Knows Anything

William Goldman

My guest today is Barry Ritholtz. As the founder & CIO of Ritholtz Wealth Management Barry manages assets of over $5B. He is also a famous author and commentator, fondly known as the 'Prickly Prophet of Wall Street' for his contrarian views. In this conversation, Barry shares the origin story and the ideas behind his latest book, "How Not to Invest." We also talk about how he’s remained a force in the industry while calling out powerful people, advice for curating the right information diet, and some of his biggest misses. Please enjoy this conversation with Barry Ritholtz.

For the full show notes, transcript, and links to the best content to learn more, check out the episode page HERE.

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Making Markets is a property of Colossus, LLC. For more episodes of Making Markets, visit joincolossus.com/episodes.

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Editing and post-production work for this episode was provided by The Podcast Consultant (https://thepodcastconsultant.com).

Show Notes

(00:00:00) Introduction: Why Write a Book on How Not to Invest?

(00:00:46) The Genesis of the Book: From Old Notes to New Ideas

(00:01:23) Debunking Financial Myths: The Core Concept

(00:02:01) The Writing Process: From Mind Maps to Manuscripts

(00:03:20) The Influence of Morgan Housel and the Final Push

(00:04:42) The Importance of Keeping Track: A Modern Phenomenon

(00:05:15) Early Career Lessons and Organizational Skills

(00:06:15) The Evolution of Financial Commentary

(00:07:24) The Impact of Bailout Nation and Market Predictions

(00:12:12) Debating Financial Titans: Respectful Disagreements

(00:16:25) Changing Perspectives: High-Frequency Trading and Hedge Funds

(00:23:17) The Halo Effect and Epistemic Trespass

(00:30:44) Billionaire Advice: Why It Doesn't Apply to You

(00:33:34) The Intersection of Media and Investing

(00:34:09) Handling Media Questions on Market Predictions

(00:35:06) Unpredictable Events and Market Reactions

(00:36:47) The Influence of Information and Propaganda

(00:38:19) Decision Making and Epistemology in Investing

(00:39:25) Curating a News Diet for Investors

(00:47:36) Behavioral Insights and Market Patterns

(00:49:43) Personal Investment Regrets and Lessons

(00:54:07) Technological Advancements in Investing

(00:59:07) Balancing Risk and Reward in Investments

(01:02:57) Concluding Thoughts and Future Plans

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