War on the Rocks
Waiting for a Theory of Victory in Ukraine
Dec 4, 2024
Mike Kofman, a research fellow at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace specializing in Russian military affairs, joins the conversation to dissect strategies in the Ukraine conflict. They explore Ukraine's hesitation in mobilization, critique the Biden administration's strategy, and discuss the implications of security guarantees outside NATO. The conversation also delves into the need for a new security framework for Ukraine, highlighting innovative solutions amid shifting geopolitical dynamics and potential U.S. disengagement.
23:06
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Quick takeaways
- The U.S. administration's delayed and reactive support for Ukraine highlights a critical lack of cohesive military strategy amidst ongoing conflict.
- Discussions on security guarantees for Ukraine suggest the need for alternative frameworks that do not directly involve NATO, challenging previous expectations.
Deep dives
U.S. Policy on Ukraine: Current Challenges
U.S. policy regarding Ukraine is at a critical juncture as the Biden administration grapples with its limited time and funding following the recent elections. The current trajectory suggests a lack of clear strategy, with indications that Ukraine has been losing ground in the war. To date, the administration has struggled to respond effectively to Ukraine's requests for support, particularly failing to act on President Zelensky's victory plan, which could have steered strategy positively. Without substantial changes, experts express concerns that Ukraine’s challenges may lead to dire consequences in the near future.
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