In this episode, Shehzad Qazi, Managing Director of China Beige Book International, discusses interesting topics such as the vulnerability of the US dollar, China's stimulus package, unrest and business confidence in China, the state of trans and bankruptcy filings in China, and the uncertainties surrounding Chinese stocks and the market.
The US is outperforming countries like Greece and Portugal in terms of bond yields, suggesting a shift in global bond markets.
China's recent stimulus package aims to boost confidence and transition to a consumption-driven economy.
Deep dives
The US becomes a high yielding sovereign
The United States is now outperforming countries like Greece, Portugal, and many emerging markets in terms of bond yields, indicating a shift in global bond markets.
China's stimulus package aims to boost confidence
China's recent stimulus package of $130 billion is primarily a signal to the markets and the local economy. It aims to boost confidence and dispel fears of an impending collapse.
China's economic playbook shifting towards leveraging
Under President Xi, China is transitioning from the previous investment-led growth model towards a more consumption-driven economy. The deliberate deflation of the Chinese property bubble is part of this new policy playbook.
China's financial crisis risk and state intervention
While there are concerns about China's financial stability, a major system-crushing financial crisis is unlikely due to the state's ability to intervene and control the financial system. The government's continuous injection of liquidity serves to prevent a widespread crisis.