Glenn Diesen - Greater Eurasia Podcast

Larry Johnson: The 28-Point Peace Plan Is Not Acceptable to Russia

6 snips
Nov 22, 2025
Larry Johnson, a former CIA analyst and State Department counterterrorism official, dissects why the 28-Point Peace Plan will never fly with Russia. He argues that the document, largely U.S.-centric, overlooks essential Russian demands and territorial claims. Johnson warns of prolonged negotiations marked by significant unresolved issues, including troop limits and battlefield leverage. He highlights Europe's limited military capacity and the disconnect between public opinion and policymaking, while noting Russia's shifting focus towards China and the Global South.
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INSIGHT

Proposal Reflects U.S. Perspective

  • The U.S. 28-point proposal is written from a U.S. perspective and omits core Russian demands.
  • Larry Johnson says Russia will negotiate but views the plan as a non-starter without major changes.
INSIGHT

Big Disagreement Over Force Caps

  • A key sticking point is military caps: the U.S. suggests 600,000 while Russia in 2022 offered 85,000.
  • Johnson argues Russia will reject large force ceilings and insist on much lower limits.
INSIGHT

Territory Disputes Will Drive Talks

  • Territory and frozen-lines are contentious because Russia already considers some regions part of the federation.
  • Johnson predicts negotiations will be lengthy and Russia may expand control if demands aren't met.
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