The Daily Punch A big, beautiful bust
Jun 19, 2025
Max Cohen, a reporter at Punchbowl News with a keen focus on political dynamics, joins the show to unpack the grim polling for the GOP's One Big Beautiful Bill. They dive into the ongoing internal conflicts within the Republican Party and the political maneuvering surrounding health care and tax deductions. Additionally, the conversation highlights Ohio's complex redistricting strategies as Republicans strategize to maintain their congressional influence amidst a shifting political landscape.
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Reconciliation Bill Faces Polling Drag
- The reconciliation bill faces broad opposition even within the GOP, with many Republicans and independents disliking the package.
- Individual popular provisions don't overcome the negative sum total perception of the bill.
Medicaid Cuts Create Political Risk
- Medicaid cuts in the bill are predicted to kick millions off healthcare, which will be a strong liability for Republicans.
- Democratic ads will capitalize on this, creating attack ads that are hard for Republicans to counter.
Bill's Sum Effect is Net Negative
- The bill's many components together produce a net negative political effect even if some parts are individually popular.
- Republicans struggle to make a positive case for the bill given internal disagreements and public skepticism.