The Grant Williams Podcast Ep. 91 - Andrew McDermott
Feb 15, 2025
auto_awesome
Andrew McDermott, a partner at Mission Value Partners, dives deep into Japan's economic evolution. He explores how Japan has transformed from stagnation to a land of opportunity, adapting to demographic and monetary challenges. McDermott highlights the quiet yet significant changes in corporate governance that attract global investors, including Warren Buffett. He emphasizes the efficient practices emerging in Japanese firms, showcasing Japan as a model of reinvention in today's dynamic economic landscape.
Japan's economic journey illustrates how adaptability and transformation can offer valuable insights for investors and policymakers facing similar challenges.
The quiet transformation of Japanese companies towards efficiency and shareholder-friendly practices showcases their resilience and ability to attract significant global investment.
Deep dives
The Rise of Japan as an Economic Powerhouse
Japan once stood as a formidable economic force, representing the second-largest economy in the world during its peak. The podcast discusses how, in the 1980s, Japan's manufacturing ability, particularly in producing high-quality goods at competitive prices, set the stage for its dominance in global markets. Companies leveraged precision technology and a commitment to continuous improvement, which allowed Japan to excel in sectors like machine tools and precision manufacturing. This era was marked by significant investments and foreign acquisitions, leading to widespread fear and competitive pressures in the U.S., fundamentally reshaping perceptions of Japan as a looming economic threat.
Corporate Culture and Decision-Making in Japan
The conversation delves into Japan's unique corporate culture during its economic height, characterized by closely-knit relationships between banks, suppliers, and manufacturers. Japanese companies often prioritized crossholding shares among themselves, which obscured direct shareholder interests and led to different capital allocation decisions that some viewed as suboptimal. Despite this, historical context reveals that these tight-knit corporate structures emerged as a response to pre-existing economic conditions after World War II, rather than being rooted in a lack of care for shareholder value. The narrative suggests that innovation and entrepreneurship were fundamental to Japan's corporate landscape before these interconnected ownership structures became the norm.
The Bubbles and Bursts of the Japanese Market
The podcast highlights the bubble that characterized Japan's stock market in the late 1980s, peaking at nearly 40,000 in the Nikkei index. The rapid inflation of stock prices prompted widespread speculation that continued to justify the unsustainable growth, mirroring modern market behaviors seen in today's economy. However, unlike the responses seen in recent market scenarios, Japan's government eventually implemented interest rate hikes to curb the excessive speculation, ultimately leading to the market's dramatic decline. This decision-making process and its impactful consequences serve as a cautionary tale about the interplay of monetary policy and market dynamics.
In this episode I’m joined by Andrew McDermott of Mission Value Partners to explore Japan’s remarkable journey from economic dominance to stagnation and its ongoing revival as a hub of opportunity. Andrew delves into how Japan has adapted to challenges such as demographic shifts and monetary policy constraints while maintaining its global relevance. He argues that Japan’s transformation offers valuable lessons for investors and policymakers alike, and, as Western investors increasingly take note of Japan’s strong corporate management and innovative strategies, our discussion sheds light on why Japan remains an inspiring example of reinvention in a rapidly changing world.
Despite critics long pointing to missteps by Japan’s central bank and corporate culture during this period, Andrew explains how, beneath the surface, Japanese companies have been quietly transforming—streamlining operations, prioritizing quality, and adopting shareholder-friendly practices, to the point where, today, many of these firms are considered paragons of efficiency and governance, attracting high-profile investors like Warren Buffett (who was given a little personal nudge along the road to investing in Japan by none other than Andrew himself).
Every episode of the Grant Williams podcast, including This Week In Doom, The End Game, The Super Terrific Happy Hour, The Narrative Game, Kaos Theory and Shifts Happen, is available to Copper, Silver and Gold Tier subscribers at my website www.Grant-Williams.com.
Copper Tier subscribers get access to all podcasts, while members of the Silver Tier get both the podcasts and my monthly newsletter, Things That Make You Go Hmmm… Gold Tier subscribers have access to my new series of in-depth video conversations, About Time.
Get the Snipd podcast app
Unlock the knowledge in podcasts with the podcast player of the future.
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode
Save any moment
Hear something you like? Tap your headphones to save it with AI-generated key takeaways
Share & Export
Send highlights to Twitter, WhatsApp or export them to Notion, Readwise & more
AI-powered podcast player
Listen to all your favourite podcasts with AI-powered features
Discover highlights
Listen to the best highlights from the podcasts you love and dive into the full episode