Bloomberg Surveillance TV: March 19, 2024 (Bank of America Special)
Mar 19, 2024
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Bank of America executives discuss the US economy resilience and opportunities in the global market. Economists analyze mixed economic data and Fed's upcoming interest rate decision. The podcast explores AI's influence on labor, market euphoria, and navigating risks in financial markets.
Bank of America CEO highlights US consumer resilience and slow burn in commercial real estate sector.
Fed's interest rate decision influenced by inflation-growth balance and market indicators for rate adjustments.
Deep dives
The Fed's View on Inflation and Growth
The Federal Reserve is considering interest rate cuts with the release of projections in June. They are in a conundrum about the balance between inflation and growth, particularly when facing hotter-than-expected inflation prints.
Key Indicators for Interest Rate Cuts
The Fed's decision to cut rates could be influenced by indicators like goods inflation trends and shifts in services consumption. Guidance from market pricing and keeping financial conditions restrictive play crucial roles in determining rate adjustments.
Market Expectations for Fed's Rate Decisions
Market expectations align for the Fed projections to maintain three rate cuts, reflecting a consistent approach if the economic data supports it. The upcoming Fed decision hinges on aligning projections with economic growth and inflation trends.
Federal Reserve's Dilemma on Symmetric Policy
The asymmetric stance of the Federal Reserve may face challenges when dealing with potential conflicts between inflation being above target and rising unemployment. Chairman Powell's strategy is likely to prioritize responding to economic risks over meeting inflation targets if a dual mandate conflict arises.
-Brian Moynihan, Bank of America Chairman & CEO -Savita Subramanian, BofA Head of US Equity & Quantitative Strategy & Jill Carey Hall, BofA Head of U.S. Small and Mid-Cap Strategy -Michael Gapen, BofA Global Research Head of US Economics & Aditya Bhave, BofA Global Research Senior US Economist
Bank of America Chairman & CEO Brian Moynihan discusses the state of the US economy, 'resilient' US consumers and the 'slow burn' of commercial real estate. Bank of America equity strategy heads Savita Subramanian & Jill Carey Hall on where they see 'euphoria' and opportunities in the global market. Michael Gapen, BofA Global Research Head of US Economics & Aditya Bhave, BofA Global Research Senior US Economist, discuss the mixed messages from recent economic data and the Fed's upcoming decision on interest rates.