The union workers who could determine the election
Oct 23, 2024
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Lauren Kaori Gurley, a labor reporter for The Washington Post, dives into the intriguing shift in union politics at a Ford plant in Michigan. She highlights how union members are increasingly torn between supporting candidates like Trump and Harris, reflecting a broader political realignment since 2016. Gurley reveals the diverse media consumption of workers and their mixed feelings about endorsements. With unions traditionally backing Democrats, she discusses the implications of this newfound independence on upcoming elections and voter behavior.
The shift in union member political allegiance, particularly towards Republican ideologies, reflects deep economic concerns that challenge historical Democratic loyalty.
Grassroots organizing within unions significantly influences undecided voters, showcasing the importance of personal engagement over formal endorsements in electoral outcomes.
Deep dives
Union Dynamics and Political Shifts
Unions have historically been significant in mobilizing their members to support Democratic candidates, typically endorsing them while promoting pro-labor policies. However, political dynamics have shifted markedly in recent years, particularly among union voters who supported Trump in greater numbers during the 2016 election. This shift indicates a departure from decades of union loyalty to the Democratic Party, as many members begin to align more closely with Republican ideologies that resonate with their economic concerns. For instance, Trump's emphasis on job creation and protectionism has appealed to workers who feel increasingly disconnected from traditional Democratic platforms.
Voter Sentiments at the Auto Plant
At an auto plant in Wayne, Michigan, workers exhibit a divided political sentiment, with approximately one-third supporting Trump, one-third favoring Harris, and the remainder undecided or unwilling to share their preferences. Workers express their strong engagement with politics, often wearing apparel that aligns with their chosen candidate and discussing political issues during breaks. Some workers recall their improved financial situations during Trump's presidency, linking their economic stability to his policies, while others have retained their loyalty to the Democratic Party, emphasizing the historical alignment of unions with Democratic values. This palpable mix of perspectives underscores the critical role that personal economic experiences play in shaping electoral choices.
The Importance of Grassroots Organizing
The effectiveness of union endorsements in influencing voting behavior has become a nuanced discussion, with grassroots organizing efforts seen as pivotal in mobilizing undecided voters. Conversations that occur within union deliberations, phone banking initiatives, and door-to-door outreach significantly impact voter turnout among those who feel their votes matter little, as opposed to those with established loyalty to either candidate. For many potential votes, the personal engagement and connection fostered through union activism can sway their decisions more than the formal endorsements themselves. This reflects a broader understanding that direct engagement fosters a sense of empowerment and value in the voting process.
This year, several large unions withheld their endorsements for a presidential candidate – a move that upset Democrats, because the majority of unions have always endorsed Democratic candidates. This was reflective of a shift that’s been happening since the 2016 election, with more and more union members moving to the right.
This division was on display when labor reporter Lauren Kaori Gurley visited the Ford auto plant in Wayne, Michigan, a factory in a critical swing state. Workers told her that they listen to MSNBC and Joe Rogan while they work and wear shirts in support of former president Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris. Some said they were still undecided.
Today’s show was produced by Sabby Robinson, with help from Emma Talkoff. It was mixed by Sean Carter. And edited by Reena Flores, with help from Monica Campbell. Thanks to Mike Madden.