The Globalist Trump’s Iran-Israel ceasefire resumes: how long will this one last?
Jun 25, 2025
Latika Burke, a geopolitics expert and journalist; Mina Al-Oraibi, Editor-in at The National in Abu Dhabi; and Sally Geffen, a London-based aviation analyst, dive into the implications of the newly announced ceasefire between Israel and Iran. They discuss its tenuous prospects, the shifting U.S. stance on Middle East relations, and rising Gulf anxieties regarding Iran's nuclear ambitions. The conversation also touches on broader geopolitical dynamics, NATO's evolving priorities, and the interconnectivity of international aviation amid these tensions.
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Fragile Israel-Iran Ceasefire
- The current Israel-Iran ceasefire is fragile but holding, with Gulf officials actively promoting its continuation.
- Coordination even involved Iran striking a US base in Qatar in a limited, pre-arranged attack reflecting complex regional diplomacy.
US Tone Shift on Israel Criticism
- Trump's blunt criticism of Israel represents a notable shift in US tone and is seen as refreshing but unpredictable in Gulf capitals.
- The region is cautiously hopeful about US seriousness to prevent further conflict escalation.
Uncertainty Around Iran Nuclear Damage
- Assessments show Iran's nuclear program was set back by air strikes, but exact damage and delays remain unclear.
- Continued Iranian refusal to allow UN inspectors hinders accurate evaluation and complicates diplomatic negotiations.