Tech's Big November Rally, Apple's Path Forward, The State of Tesla — With Dan Ives
Dec 6, 2023
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Dan Ives, managing director and senior equity research analyst at Wedbush Securities, discusses the November tech rally, generative AI, Microsoft's AI dominance, the state of Apple and Tesla, Rivian's pickup truck, the Cybertruck's chances, 2024 predictions, and Elon Musk's future at X. Bitcoin madness also makes a comeback in the conversation.
The tech sector showed surprising resilience in November, driving significant market gains despite a challenging macro environment.
The increased adoption of AI across various sectors is fueling optimism for a new tech bull market in 2024, with over 80 identified use cases driving the transformation of the enterprise sector.
Deep dives
Tech stocks experience a November rally
Despite expectations of a market slowdown, the S&P 500 and NASDAQ saw significant gains in November, up 20% and 11% respectively. This rally was predominantly driven by the resilience of the tech sector, which has proven to be surprisingly strong in the face of a challenging macro environment. The increased adoption of AI across various companies, from Nvidia to Microsoft, is fueling optimism for a new tech bull market in 2024. While some choppiness may be expected, it is predicted that tech stocks will see continued growth, with a potential increase of 20% in the next year.
The explosive growth of AI use cases
The enterprise and consumer landscapes are witnessing an explosion of AI use cases across various sectors such as finance, insurance, healthcare, government, and cybersecurity. With over 80 identified use cases, the enterprise sector is experiencing a significant transformation that rivals previous revolutions like big data. While there is debate whether AI represents a 50 or a 99 on a scale of importance, it is clear that AI adoption is accelerating. The availability of compelling return-on-investment (ROI) opportunities and the growing monetization potential are convincing organizations to embrace AI at scale, paving the way for continued growth of the technology.
Apple, the largest tech company, faces the challenge of declining iPhone sales due to longer smartphone replacement cycles. However, their strategy focuses on diversifying revenue streams, emphasizing Macs, iPads, and services. By targeting higher price points and leveraging their massive install base, Apple aims to boost overall revenue and monetize its ecosystem further. Although some concerns exist around market competition, particularly in China, Apple's ability to drive innovation, expand into new geographies like India, and monetize their vast user base indicate a positive outlook for the company in the coming year.
Insights into Tesla's future prospects
Tesla, a perennially intriguing company, recently faced criticism for lower margins as it aimed to increase unit sales. However, these temporary challenges are viewed as part of a longer-term growth trajectory. The company's ambition to disrupt the automotive industry through technological advancements and market expansion remains intact. With the impending release of the Cybertruck and efforts to produce more affordable vehicles, Tesla aims to tap into the mass market and challenge the dominance of traditional automakers like Ford's F-150. Although Tesla's ownership structure may undergo changes due to financial circumstances, its positioning as a disruptive technology player remains strong.
Dan Ivesis the managing director and senior equity research analyst at Wedbush Securities. He joins Big Technology Podcast for a broad discussion of the state of tech today. We cover: 1) Tech's November rally 2) Whether generative AI is Big data 2.0 3) Microsoft winning 80-90% of big AI deals 4) The state of Apple 5) How analysts like Ives estimate iPhone sales 6) The state of Tesla 7) Rivian's pickup truck 8) The Cybertruck's chances 9) 2024 Predictions 10) Elon Musk's future at X 11) Bitcoin madness returns.
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