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Carney's high-stakes budget and rumblings of a snap election

Oct 31, 2025
David Coletto, founder of Abacus Data, and Amanda Galbraith, co-founder of Oyster Group, delve into the pressures surrounding Carney's high-stakes budget amidst potential election rumors. They explore Canadians' mixed views on the budget's significance and critique the government's communication failures, leaving many confused. Coletto highlights the political risks tied to the budget's complexity, while Galbraith discusses how U.S.-Canada tensions might strategically favor Carney’s plans. The discussion also touches on Poilievre's youth-centric messaging strategy.
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INSIGHT

Public Attention Falls Short Of Government Hype

  • Most Canadians aren't treating the budget as a must-watch event and many aren't paying close attention.
  • David Coletto says high expectations exist but confusion persists about the budget's purpose between cuts and investment.
INSIGHT

Desire For Deficit Reduction, Not Austerity

  • Polling shows people want deficits reduced but resist deep, draconian cuts.
  • Coletto warns austerity-versus-investment framing has confused voters and may backfire politically.
ADVICE

Pre-Communicate Clearly And Sustain Messaging

  • Amanda Galbraith says the government needed stronger pre-communication and a clear lead message before the budget.
  • She advises consistent spokespeople and sustained messaging rather than sporadic proclamations.
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