War on the Rocks

As Ukraine Stumbles and Russia Advances, What Does it Mean?

Nov 12, 2024
Mike Kofman, a military analyst and expert on the Russian military, shares insights from his recent research trip to Ukraine. He discusses the precarious state of the frontlines, highlighting Ukrainian manpower shortages and Russian advances. Kofman explores the potential deployment of North Korean troops and its strategic implications for the conflict. He evaluates the evolving military landscape, contrasting earlier optimism with pressing challenges, and emphasizes the urgent need for the U.S. to reassess its policy in response to these developments.
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INSIGHT

Kursk's Fragile Defense

  • Russia has retaken substantial territory in Kursk, and Ukraine's hold is precarious.
  • The constrained resupply route to Suzha adds to Ukraine's difficulties.
INSIGHT

North Korean Troops: A Test Case?

  • Russia might be using North Korean troops in Kursk as a testing ground.
  • This raises questions about their future deployment elsewhere in Ukraine.
ANECDOTE

Ukrainian Soldiers' Reaction

  • Ukrainian soldiers anticipated and even showed excitement at the prospect of encountering North Korean troops.
  • Some have reportedly seen them, potentially signaling further involvement.
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