
War on the Rocks
As Ukraine Stumbles and Russia Advances, What Does it Mean?
Nov 12, 2024
Mike Kofman, a military analyst and expert on the Russian military, shares insights from his recent research trip to Ukraine. He discusses the precarious state of the frontlines, highlighting Ukrainian manpower shortages and Russian advances. Kofman explores the potential deployment of North Korean troops and its strategic implications for the conflict. He evaluates the evolving military landscape, contrasting earlier optimism with pressing challenges, and emphasizes the urgent need for the U.S. to reassess its policy in response to these developments.
21:13
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Quick takeaways
- Ukrainian forces confront severe logistical and manpower challenges, struggling to maintain effective defense against advancing Russian troops and potential North Korean support.
- The outcome of the upcoming U.S. election could significantly influence future military aid to Ukraine, with uncertainties surrounding potential policy shifts under Donald Trump's leadership.
Deep dives
Current Battlefield Situation in Ukraine
Russian forces have regained approximately 40% of territory previously held by Ukraine in the Kursk region, with ongoing attacks contributing to a challenging situation for Ukrainian defenses. The Ukrainian military is expected to struggle maintaining control as their logistics are heavily constrained, particularly due to limited supply routes. As fighting continues, the potential involvement of North Korean troops as support for Russian forces raises concerns about the sustainability of Ukrainian positions in the area. Despite these setbacks, Ukrainian forces have been managing to hold their ground, albeit under increasing pressure that is likely to lead to territorial losses.
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