The Fin Election 2025: What Labor will do with its thumping win
May 6, 2025
Phillip Coorey, political editor at the Australian Financial Review, and John Kehoe, its economics editor, dive into Labor's remarkable election win. They explore the sweeping shifts in voter sentiment and the implications for the Coalition's leadership. The discussion highlights the impact of social media on campaigning and critiques the opposition's approach to energy policy, particularly nuclear debates. They also unpack vote counting controversies and assess how Labor's strengthened position could influence future governance and economic policies.
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Middle Australia Abandoned Liberals
- Middle Australia dramatically shifted away from the Liberal Party towards Labor in this election.
- The electorate rejected perceived radical conservatism, preferring Labor's centrist, compassionate approach.
Polls Underestimated Labor Swing
- Polls predicted a Labor win but massively underestimated the swing size.
- Unexpected swings in Queensland and Victoria defied election day expectations and final polls.
Poll Accuracy on Winner Prediction
- Most public polls accurately forecast Labor's victory margin within the margin of error.
- Only a few polls underestimated Labor's two-party preferred vote.