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Limited Impact of Strike on Iran
- A strike on Iran’s nuclear program can only delay it by a few years, not eliminate it.
- Such an attack would require a massive operation overcoming strong Iranian defenses.
Oil Attacks Risk Global Crisis
- Targeting Iran’s oil infrastructure would catastrophically impact the global economy.
- Iran could retaliate by shutting down oil flow in the Persian Gulf, affecting 20% of world oil.
Region War as Cover for Gaza Cleansing
- Israel’s main strategy might be to use a regional war to cover the ethnic cleansing of Palestinians in Gaza.
- Attacking Iran's nuclear program is likely a pretext rather than a long-term solution.