The Rest Is Politics 418. Trump Bombs Iran: What Happens Now?
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Jun 22, 2025 The hosts dive into the explosive geopolitical consequences of Trump's military strike on Iran. They unpack the complex legal and diplomatic fallout, questioning the wisdom of preemptive actions. The discussion touches on rising tensions in the Middle East and the impact of military operations on oil prices. They critique the current U.S. administration's foreign policy, likening it to reality TV governance. Light-hearted cultural banter adds a twist, offering a fun break from the serious topics at hand.
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US Strike vs International Law
- The US bombing of Iranian nuclear sites challenges international law principles on preemptive attacks.
- Iran was at least a year away from developing a nuclear weapon when the strike occurred.
Iran's Retaliation Capabilities
- Iran's options to retaliate have diminished but remain significant, including cyber attacks and proxy forces.
- Israel's prior strikes weakened Hezbollah's missile capabilities, reducing some Iranian threats.
Risks of Closing Straits of Hormuz
- Closing the Straits of Hormuz would severely disrupt global oil supply, impacting regional and global economies.
- Iran is cautious about such moves since it would also harm its own national interests.