

How Europe’s consensus on Ukraine broke down
Feb 18, 2025
In this discussion, James Johnson, Director at JL Partners, shares insights on the complex diplomatic dynamics surrounding Ukraine. He highlights a pivotal meeting between US and Russian diplomats in Saudi Arabia, where Europe's voices are notably absent. The podcast dives into divided opinions within Europe, with the UK pushing for increased military support while Germany and Italy lean towards negotiation. Polling data reveals contrasting public sentiments on NATO membership, reflecting broader concerns and shifting priorities in both US and European politics.
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European Divide on Ukraine
- European leaders are divided on their approach to the war in Ukraine.
- Germany and Italy appear more dovish, while the UK favors increased defense spending and troop deployment.
Differing Threat Perceptions
- US Democrats prioritize climate change, while Republicans focus on cyberattacks, China, and Iran.
- Similarly, UK Conservatives and Labour see Russia as a top threat, unlike Reform UK voters.
Public Opinion on Ukraine
- Among G7 and BRICS nations, the US is the most supportive of Ukraine joining NATO, while Germany is the least.
- Public opinion in most polled countries favors Ukraine negotiating for peace even if it means territorial losses.