David Bahnsen, Michael Nathanson, Francis Oh, and Young Choi discuss markets, stock picks, Hollywood strikes, Disney earnings, AI ETFs, and outlook for artificial intelligence. Igal Namdar shares his strategy buying struggling malls, legal battles, and outlook for real estate and the CRE sector.
Investors can take advantage of discounted prices for high-quality office assets in prime locations, potentially benefiting from a flight to quality and recovery as more corporations bring employees back to the office.
There is a significant opportunity for investors in lower-class office properties with substantial price reductions, particularly in New York City, where a considerable amount of CMBS is coming due by the end of 2025 and a shift towards flight to quality and potential lower interest rates.
Deep dives
Opportunity in the Office Market
There is a unique opportunity in the office market for investors who are willing to be contrarian. By focusing on prime office buildings in prime locations, there is potential for a flight to quality as lower-quality assets may need to be repurposed. While the office market may not fully return to pre-COVID levels, there is optimism for a recovery as more corporations bring their employees back to the office. The current market presents discounted prices for high-quality office assets, making it an opportune time for savvy investors.
The Potential for Office Market Recovery
Though the office market has been significantly affected by the pandemic, there is a potential for recovery. While the A-class assets have been relatively stable, the B and C-class assets have seen substantial price reductions, up to 70% in some cases. With a considerable amount of CMBS coming due by the end of 2025 and a vast office inventory in New York City, there is a significant opportunity for investors in these lower-class office properties. The market may rebound as there is a shift towards flight to quality and potential lower interest rates.
Buying High-Quality Office Assets at Discounted Prices
Investors can take advantage of the current market conditions by purchasing high-quality office assets at steep discounts. By focusing on well-located buildings with excellent light and air, there is potential for these assets to rebound as more people return to the office. It's crucial to buy at a discount but not at the expense of acquiring assets that won't recover. The goal is to target prime office buildings with attractive discounts, considering the potential for a flight to quality and anticipated recovery in the market.
The Value of Patient Capital and Analyzing Deals
One key factor for success in the current office market is having patient capital and conducting careful deal analysis. Taking a contrarian approach to investments and being prepared to wait for market conditions to turn around is essential. By thoroughly examining deals and considering the downside, investors can identify opportunities to acquire high-quality assets at a favorable basis. With diligent analysis and a focus on discount and quality, patient investors can reap the benefits when the market recovers.
David Bahnsen, founder and Chief Investment Officer at The Bahnsen Group, joins to talk about markets, stock picks, and the launch of his new ETF, the TBG Dividend Focus ETF. Michael Nathanson, Founding Partner and Senior Research Analyst at Moffettnathanson, joins to talk about the Hollywood strikes ending and Disney earnings. Francis Oh, Head of AI ETFs at Qraft Technologies, and Young Choi, Director at LG AI Research, joins to discuss the launch of their NYSE-listed AI ETF and outlook for artificial intelligence. Igal Namdar, founder at Namdar Realty Group, joins to discuss his strategy buying struggling malls, the legal battles it invites, and outlook for real estate, distressed debt, and the overall CRE sector. Hosted by Paul Sweeney and Matt Miller.