FiveThirtyEight Politics
A 538 Election Road Trip
Oct 17, 2024
Join Jeffrey Skelly, a Senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight, Ruth Egelnik, the New York Times polling editor, and Nathaniel Rakich, another Senior analyst at FiveThirtyEight, as they navigate the intricate landscape of down-ballot races. They humorously dissect shifting voter trends and unique campaign strategies, such as Jared Golden's re-election bid in Maine. The discussion also includes the rise of ranked choice voting in Alaska and the intense competition in California's House race. Buckle up for insights that go beyond the presidential spotlight!
45:58
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Quick takeaways
- The podcast highlights the importance of down-ballot races, particularly in Democratic districts that previously leaned favorably towards Biden amidst changing voter sentiments.
- Significant ballot initiatives on social issues, including drug legalization, indicate evolving public opinions that could influence voting behavior in upcoming elections.
Deep dives
Overview of Down-Ballot Races
Many races beyond the presidential election are on the ballot in November, including significant contests for the Senate, House, and several ballot initiatives across the country. In New York, House Democrats are optimistic about positive outcomes after a disappointing 2022, with four competitive races currently held by Republicans in districts that lean Democratic. The tightness of these races reflects a broader trend where a close presidential race typically leads to similar outcomes in Congressional contests. As the episode progresses, the focus will shift to pivotal districts nationwide, exploring critical down-ballot dynamics that could shape election results.
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