FiveThirtyEight Politics A 538 Election Road Trip
Oct 17, 2024
Join Jeffrey Skelly, a Senior elections analyst at FiveThirtyEight, Ruth Egelnik, the New York Times polling editor, and Nathaniel Rakich, another Senior analyst at FiveThirtyEight, as they navigate the intricate landscape of down-ballot races. They humorously dissect shifting voter trends and unique campaign strategies, such as Jared Golden's re-election bid in Maine. The discussion also includes the rise of ranked choice voting in Alaska and the intense competition in California's House race. Buckle up for insights that go beyond the presidential spotlight!
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House Races and Presidential Votes
- Most House races closely follow presidential votes.
- The 2020 election saw the smallest percentage of split-ticket voting in modern times.
New York House Races
- New York Democrats hope to regain seats lost in 2022.
- Four competitive House races are in districts Biden won, but Republicans currently hold.
Jared Golden's Success
- Jared Golden, a Democrat, has won three terms in a Trump-won district.
- This is attributed to his appeal and Maine's tendency for split-ticket voting.