Goldman Sachs The Markets “This is what people were hoping for”
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Jun 6, 2025 The discussion kicks off with a breakdown of a mixed jobs report and its effect on market sentiment, revealing a shift in investor confidence. They dive into the recent decline in market volatility, touching on factors like volatility selling ETFs. The conversation shifts to emerging opportunities in the tech and AI sectors, noting slower adoption rates in the U.S. compared to Europe. Finally, they highlight key economic indicators and the implications of interest rates and corporate earnings on market dynamics.
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Jobs Report Eases Recession Fears
- The jobs report was better than the market feared, alleviating some anxiety about economic weakness.
- This benign outcome reduces recession fears and supports ongoing equity market optimism.
Recession Anxiety Limits Market Participation
- Investors have been hesitant due to recession concerns, limiting participation in the equity rally.
- With recession worries easing, more investors may feel compelled to enter the market without an excuse to stay sidelined.
Why Volatility Remains Low Yet Risky
- Mechanical factors like vol selling ETFs and buybacks suppress market volatility.
- Despite these forces, risks from trade negotiations and corporate guidance updates may cause volatility spikes.