Naval

Probability Is Subjective

4 snips
Apr 16, 2021
Dive into the intriguing concept of probability and how it intertwines with human ignorance and determinism. Explore the fascinating idea that uncertainty might just be an illusion, thanks to the multiverse, where every possible outcome actually happens. This thought-provoking discussion will challenge your understanding of reality and the nature of chance.
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INSIGHT

Subjective Probability

  • All probability is subjective, based on individual ignorance, not universal uncertainty.
  • Every physically possible outcome occurs in the multiverse, eliminating inherent uncertainty.
INSIGHT

The Multiverse

  • Quantum theory suggests all possibilities occur, creating a multiverse.
  • We perceive probability as one outcome in our universe, while other outcomes happen in other universes.
INSIGHT

Probability and the Multiverse

  • The number of universes corresponds to calculated probabilities.
  • Two dice summing up to seven have higher probability because they occur in more universes than a sum of two.
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