Politics Now

Has Trump stopped Iran developing a nuclear weapon?

Jun 24, 2025
Ben Knight, a former Middle East and US correspondent for the ABC, offers keen insights into the fragile ceasefire declaration in the Israel-Iran conflict. He discusses the uncertainty surrounding both nations' commitment and the recent missile strikes complicating matters. The dialogue also addresses Iran's aggressive posture, Trump's influence on foreign policy, and the challenges of establishing a sustainable nuclear agreement. Knight emphasizes the precarious balance in the region and the risks of escalating tensions amid fragile peace efforts.
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INSIGHT

Symbolic Strikes & Strategic Targeting

  • Iran's missile strike on a US base in Qatar was more symbolic than destructive, showing restraint with prior warning and evacuation.
  • Israel's subsequent intensified attacks targeted regime assets rather than nuclear sites, aiming to weaken Iran's infrastructure pre-ceasefire.
INSIGHT

Iran's Waning Regional Influence

  • Iran's diminished regional power contrasts with its prior feared status, notably due to degraded proxies like Hamas and Hezbollah.
  • Israel's military control and missile defenses have severely restricted Iran's ability to retaliate effectively.
INSIGHT

Ceasefire vs Nuclear Deal Reality

  • The ceasefire is not a comprehensive resolution; the original nuclear deal (JCPOA) was dismantled, complicating future negotiations.
  • Trump's cancellation of the deal contributed to current tensions and challenges in re-establishing trust with Iran.
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