In Moscow's Shadows 84: Putin the History (Abuse) Man
Nov 20, 2022
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Exploring the impact of history on present-day Russia, including the complexities of Russian identity. Delving into how leaders like Peter the Great, Catherine the Great, and Putin have shaped Russia's national identity. Discussing the control and manipulation of history in Russia, including the use of history and nationalism in the conflict with Ukraine. Criticizing Putin's understanding of Russia and discussing the economic and political consequences of the war. Examining the financial and economic impact of the war on Russia and Ukraine. Exploring the credibility of investing in Russia under the current regime and the brain drain of skilled individuals leaving the country. Discussing the impact of the shrinking economy on relations between regions and ethnicities in Russia.
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Quick takeaways
Russia's history is used to create a national image and sense of pride, especially under Putin's rule.
The war in Russia has not only caused economic strain, but also impacted regional relations and ethnic dynamics.
Understanding the relationships between Moscow and regional governors is crucial in understanding Russia's dynamics.
Deep dives
The Use of History to Shape Russia's Present
History is used to shape Russia's present, especially under the old regime. The despised statue of Peter the Great in Moscow is an example of history being reinvented. Russia's history is complex and mutable, with constant reinterpretation and reinvention. The lack of natural boundaries and multiculturalism contribute to the fluidity of Russia's identity. Russia's position in geopolitical competition has also influenced its history.
Creating a National Narrative
Countries often have national myths, but Russia's history is particularly complex and mutable. Russia has special reasons for constantly redefining itself through history. These include the lack of natural boundaries, multiculturalism, and past geopolitical competition. Russia's history is used to create a national image and sense of pride. Putin is also using history to unite the nation and legitimize his rule.
The Costs of the War
The exact cost of the war to Russia is hard to quantify but is estimated at around one billion dollars per day. The war has put a strain on Russia's economy, as resources are redirected towards military spending. The long-term effects include diminishing reserves, decreasing natural resource profits, and a shrinking economy. There are also intangible costs, such as brain drain and loss of international investment. The war impacts regional relations and ethnic dynamics within Russia.
Regional Impact and Economic Burden
The shrinking economy affects regional relations, with some regions being hit harder than others. There are variations in how regional governors handle economic challenges and mobilization efforts. Moscow provides subsidies to some regions, while others receive little support. The impact on regional political systems depends on how governors balance support for Moscow initiatives with advocating for local needs. Regional elites may protect local interests against Moscow's control. The economic burden raises questions about the sustainability of Russia's regional dynamics.
Governors' Roles and Influence
Regional governors play multiple roles: as local foreman, local advocate, and local protector. They uphold Moscow's interests while also representing local needs and protecting local interests. Their effectiveness in implementing Moscow's instructions and defending the system varies. Governors can make a difference in how local resources are allocated and how Moscow's decrees are applied. They also have their own political interests and ambitions that shape their actions. The relationships between Moscow and regional governors are crucial in understanding Russia's dynamics.
My own contribution to the current discussion about how Putin tries to use and abuse history, and how he doesn't even get Russian history right.
And, after the break, the costs of the war to Russia and the all-too-often overlooked (not least by Putin) regional dimension.
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