Heavy Strategy HS110: Cryptocalypse Soon! The CRQCs Are Due Sooner Than We Thought
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Aug 19, 2025 Experts discuss the rapidly approaching threat of quantum computing capable of breaking traditional encryption. Recent estimates show this technology could arrive years sooner than expected. Organizations must act fast, particularly in finance, to adopt quantum-resistant cryptography. The conversation dives into evaluating vendor strategies for data protection and the importance of proactive cybersecurity measures. With cryptographic vulnerabilities on the rise, there's an urgent need for reassessing security practices to safeguard communications in our tech-driven world.
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Google Cuts CRQC Requirements
- Google revised its CRQC (Cryptographically Relevant Quantum Computer) resource estimates down sharply from 20M to under 1M physical qubits.
- Advances in algorithms and error correction are the key reasons the cryptocalypse timeline moved much closer.
Multiple Qubit Paths Accelerate Risk
- Multiple qubit types and rapid improvements raise the probability of a near-term breakthrough.
- Johna argues 2030 is more of a ceiling than a midpoint for CRQC arrival.
Start Post-Quantum Planning Today
- Stop assuming quantum-safe migration can wait and start planning now if you care about encrypted data.
- Move sensitive systems toward post-quantum or symmetric encryption and begin implementation this year.
