Billionaire financier Ken Griffin discusses cracks in the hedge fund sector as Citadel's success faces challenges. The episode explores the rise of multi-manager hedge funds, fundraising struggles, high returns, high costs, market risks, and future scenarios for hedge funds amidst higher interest rates and investor preferences.
High fees in multi-manager hedge funds require strong performance to justify costs, posing risks for investors.
Crowded trades and increased competition threaten the future success of multi-manager hedge funds, emphasizing the need for performance.
Deep dives
Bobby Jane's Career Change and the Rise of Multi-Manager Funds
Bobby Jane, a prominent hedge fund executive, decided to leave his successful career at Millennium Management to start his own firm, Jane Global. He aimed to launch a multi-manager hedge fund, a growing and profitable sector in the hedge fund industry. However, Jane faced challenges in raising funds, with his original target falling short. This situation reflects a larger trend of slowing performance among multi-manager funds, indicating a potential end to the boom times in the sector.
The Costly Cycle and Risks for Multi-Manager Funds
Multi-manager hedge funds incur high costs due to their need for advanced technology, data systems, and top talent. These expenses are passed on to investors, resulting in higher fees. To justify these fees, the funds must deliver strong performance, creating a cycle where the need for higher returns drives up costs even further. Furthermore, crowding in the market, where multiple funds invest in the same trades, can lead to severe losses if trades go wrong. Additionally, higher interest rates and the availability of alternative investments like treasury bonds make it harder for funds to attract and retain investors.
The Future for Hedge Funds and Bobby Jane's Outlook
The future for multi-manager funds is uncertain, with potential outcomes including a dramatic downfall or a gradual loss of their edge. The use of leverage amplifies gains but also magnifies losses, posing a risk. Crowded trades, where once lucrative strategies become mainstream, can also diminish profits. Despite challenges, Bobby Jane can still achieve success by building a performance record, even with a lower fundraising target. His launch is slated for July, providing an opportunity for growth and improvements. The ultimate determinant for his success will be his fund's performance.
Billionaire financiers such as Ken Griffin pioneered what’s known as the multi-manager model for hedge funds, where big spending begets big returns. In 2022, Griffin’s Citadel became the best-performing hedge fund of all time. But now, cracks in the sector are beginning to form. The FT’s Harriet Agnew and Ortenca Aliaj examine what a downturn could mean for investors and the broader financial sector.
Plus, do you have a question about markets, finance or economics? Get in touch with Michela, and we may use it in an upcoming joint show with Unhedged.
Email Michela at michela.tindera@ft.com, or message her on X at @mtindera07.
On X, follow Harriet Agnew (@HarrietAgnew), Ortenca Aliaj (@OrtencaAl) and Michela Tindera (@mtindera07), or follow Michela on LinkedIn for updates about the show and more.