The Numbers

Post-mortem on an unprecedented election

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Apr 30, 2025
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ANECDOTE

Eric Grenier's Campaign Experience

  • Eric Grenier had a fun campaign overall despite hitting a wall in the middle weeks.
  • He enjoyed being on CPAC election night in front of a big map, a lifelong wish fulfilled.
INSIGHT

Unprecedented Election Records

  • The 2024 Canadian election was unprecedented with two parties each getting over 40% of the vote.
  • Leader Pierre Poilievre lost his seat despite Conservatives' best popular vote since merging, marking historic anomalies.
INSIGHT

Poll Accuracy and Ontario Surprise

  • Polls performed impressively well nationally with only minor misses.
  • Ontario was the key surprise region where they underestimated Conservative gains that flipped about 20 seats.
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