Almost everyone is predicting that property prices will surge higher this year. In fact, the newspapers are already full of stories about properties selling well above reserves.
Low stock levels are partly responsible for the currently exuberant property market. That exuberance might cool as more stock becomes available. But the RBA and the government do not want prices to rise too quick as it might create a bubble, and all bubbles pop eventually.
Predictions of rising property prices
Mr Evans cited Australia’s better-than-expected economic recovery, the vaccine rollout and historically low interest rates as the reasons for his optimistic property price prediction.
According to
ABS lending indicators, the property market is still dominated by owner-occupiers. However, as overall sentiment improves, it is likely that investors will return to the market and that could further fuel price rises. The government could become concerned if it believed growth rates were unsustainable.
Imminent loosening of lending rules
Last year the government announced that it would scrap the ‘responsible lending’ rules in order to speed up loan approval times and eliminate the ‘one-size-fits-all’ approach (i.e. give banks more discretion). The practical consequence of this proposal change is that lenders may no longer have to ascertain what you currently spend each month (including discretionary expenses). Instead, they could use a benchmarks. In effect, for many borrowers, it would increase their borrowing capacity.
The Senate Committee
recently recommended to the government that these proposed changes become law. The Bill will now need to be debated and passed in the Senate and the House of Representatives before it becomes law. If the Bill is ultimately successful, this could further fuel property prices.
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