Matt Clifford: Co-founder & CEO of Entrepreneur First
Aug 22, 2023
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Matt Clifford, co-founder and CEO of Entrepreneur First, talks about the characteristics of entrepreneurship, the goals of ARIA, and how the internet amplifies variance. They also discuss the future of AI, slowing progress in science, increasing the supply of founders, and encouraging entrepreneurship. They explore the challenges of fitting Entrepreneur First into a traditional fund structure and restructuring as a permanent capital vehicle.
The internet acts as a variance amplifier, increasing extreme outcomes and creating more variance in society.
AI could either become a centralizing force, dampening variance, or lead to a proliferation of AI systems, driving a surge in variance amplification.
Creating an environment that supports founders involves forging connections, embracing failure, and forming co-founder teams to discover true passion.
Deep dives
The Internet as a Variance Amplifier
The internet is described as a variance amplifier, meaning that it increases the extreme outcomes of social and economic processes. In the past, modernity reduced variance by promoting institutions and systems that picked predictable and safe candidates for leadership roles. However, the internet has disrupted this trend, amplifying the most extreme outcomes and making them accessible to a broader audience. The internet's ability to connect millions or even billions of people to unique ideas and opportunities has led to increased variance in society.
The Impact of AI and Variance
The future impact of AI on variance amplification is uncertain. One possibility is that AI becomes a centralizing force, where one dominant AI system emerges due to its significant advantages in scale and obtaining artificial general intelligence (AGI) first. This scenario may dampen variance, leading to potential concerns and limitations. Alternatively, a world with a proliferation of AI systems, decentralized innovation, and a reduced emphasis on exclusive AGI development could lead to a significant increase in variance amplification. This dispersion of core insights and capabilities across numerous AIs could drive a surge in breakthroughs and advancements across various industries.
The Need for High Risk Bets in Science
The rate of progress in certain domains, such as science, has shown signs of slowing down. This trend can be attributed to the increasing challenges of securing funding for high-risk ideas and the difficulties in obtaining resources for ambitious projects. To address this, there is a need to create an environment that encourages scientists to pursue unconventional and high-risk ventures. By providing support and removing barriers, such as the fear of failure or lack of funding, scientists can make breakthroughs that propel human progress.
The Importance of Tapping into Hidden Entrepreneurial Talent
Many highly talented individuals remain undiscovered as potential entrepreneurs due to the prevailing societal narratives and career paths. Often, people feel constrained by social expectations and fear the potential social failure and rejection associated with pursuing entrepreneurial endeavors. Tapping into this hidden pool of talent requires creating environments that celebrate and encourage entrepreneurship, focusing especially on those who have excelled within traditional career paths but feel unfulfilled. By shifting the narrative and removing barriers, more extraordinary individuals can explore entrepreneurship as a viable option.
Building a Supportive Environment for Founders
Creating an environment that supports founders involves forging connections, lowering social friction, and embracing failure as part of the learning process. By fostering a community where individuals have given up significant opportunities to pursue entrepreneurship, and where failure is seen as an opportunity to iterate and improve, the peer group becomes a valuable source of encouragement and guidance. Moreover, forming teams of co-founders and encouraging experimentation can help individuals discover their true passion and find the right entrepreneurial path. The focus should be on productivity, progress, and developing the necessary skills to thrive as a founder.
Our conversation covered the characteristics that define cultures of entrepreneurship, the goals of his work on ARIA, and how the internet functions as a variance amplifier.
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Moth Minds is a podcast where Molly Mielke of Moth Fund interviews high-agency humans.
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