How I Invest with David Weisburd

E175: Elon Musk: 10 Billion Humanoid Robots by 2040? w/NEA Partner Aaron Jacobson

29 snips
Jun 16, 2025
Aaron Jacobson, a partner at NEA with a rich background in AI, robotics, and cybersecurity, dives into the feasibility of Elon Musk's prediction of 10 billion humanoid robots by 2040. He discusses the significant technological hurdles that need to be overcome and contrasts the potential of consumer versus industrial robots. Jacobson also sheds light on the escalating cyber threats expected in the next five years, the importance of penetration testing, and how AI can revolutionize cybersecurity, making this conversation a treasure trove for tech enthusiasts and investors.
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INSIGHT

Elon's Humanoid Prediction Overoptimistic

  • Elon Musk's prediction of 10 billion humanoid robots by 2040 is overly optimistic by multiple orders of magnitude.
  • Major breakthroughs in AI models and massive supply chain scaling are required for such deployment.
INSIGHT

Robotics Challenge: Robustness and Diversity

  • Robots excel at narrow tasks but fail when task variations or environments change, exposing lack of robustness.
  • Achieving general-purpose humanoids demands overcoming vast complexity and diversity of physical world data.
ADVICE

Industrial Robots Before Home Robots

  • Home humanoid robots face huge safety challenges making deployment difficult.
  • Industrial humanoids in tethered, narrow-task environments are more feasible and economically viable soon.
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