The Rational Reminder Podcast

Episode 283: When Volatility is Risk, and Introducing The Money Scope Podcast

12 snips
Dec 14, 2023
Guests Mark Soth and Mark McGrath join the podcast to discuss volatility and investor behavior, the upcoming Money Scope podcast, incorporating a medical practice in Canada, complexity in estate planning, factors affecting job satisfaction, and community discussions and promotions.
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INSIGHT

Performance Chasing Creates A Real Return Gap

  • Investors systematically chase past performance, creating a persistent return gap versus time-weighted fund returns.
  • This gap averages about 1.5–2% for equities and is larger for volatile or specialized funds.
INSIGHT

Volatility And Specialization Widen Gaps

  • Return gaps grow with fund volatility and specialization, reaching 4–5% in some sector or NASDAQ samples.
  • Growth funds show larger investor capture gaps than value funds, implying behavior varies by style.
INSIGHT

Gaps Signal Behavioural Error, Not Randomness

  • Return gaps are statistically different from random cash flows, suggesting investor error rather than chance.
  • Gaps increase with fund expense ratios, linking poorer investor outcomes to lower sophistication.
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