Inflation falls - but what might it mean for interest rates?
Apr 17, 2024
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Economics editor Ed Conway discusses decreasing inflation rates and potential interest rate cuts, UK importing inflation from the US, ASOS sales decline, and challenges in the retail sector. Russ Mould from AJ Bell shares insights on ASOS becoming 'more agile' after a drop in sales.
Declining inflation rates in the UK raise hopes for potential interest rate cut, contrasting with challenges faced by retailers like ASOS and Superdry.
International Monetary Fund discussions show cautious optimism amidst decreasing UK and US inflation rates, with concerns remaining about global economic uncertainties and consumer impacts.
Deep dives
Inflation Rates Decrease and Economic Outlook Improves
The podcast discusses the declining inflation rates, with the governor of the Bank of England announcing a 3.2% inflation rate, the lowest since September 2021. This news raises hopes for a potential interest rate cut by the Bank of England to aid borrowers. However, contrasting this positive news, ASOS experiences a 16% drop in sales, and Superdry faces delisting from the stock exchange, highlighting ongoing economic challenges.
Global Economy and Inflation Challenges
The International Monetary Fund's discussions on global inflation trends reveal a cautious optimism despite decreasing inflation rates in the UK and the US. Concerns remain regarding persistent inflation and economic uncertainties worldwide. While the US experiences milder inflation compared to Europe, rising prices continue to impact consumers globally.
Retail Industry Struggles and Economic Impact
The podcast delves into challenges faced by retailers like ASOS and Superdry, citing shifting consumer preferences and market competition as key factors. ASOS's online format faces competition from lower-priced alternatives, affecting consumer choices. Superdry's decline reflects changing consumer tastes and management struggles to maintain momentum amidst tough economic conditions. The economic uncertainty poses challenges for retailers, with inflation rates influencing consumer spending and business performance.
The price of everyday things - mainly food - is now rising at the lowest level since 2021.
Official data shows inflation eased last month to 3.2% - down from 3.4% - but the fall was slightly less than economists expected.
On the Daily, Niall Paterson looks at what's going on with inflation and what it might mean for interest rates with Sky's economics and data editor Ed Conway - who's in the US looking at the situation there. They also discuss how the UK could be importing inflation from America.
Plus, Niall talks to Russ Mould, investment director at finance firm AJ Bell, about what's happening at the fashion retailer ASOS which says it's becoming "more agile" after an 18% drop in sales.
Producer: Rosie Gillott Assistant Producer: Iona Brunker Podcast Promotions Producer: David Chipakupaku Editor: Paul Stanworth
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