Economist Podcasts Checks and Balance: Year all about it
Nov 17, 2023
John Sides, a political scientist at Vanderbilt University, shares insights from his research on past presidential elections. Ed Carr, deputy editor of The Economist, discusses the global implications of a potential second Trump term. They analyze current polling, highlighting Trump's lead in key states and Biden's challenges with approval ratings and voter enthusiasm. The panel emphasizes the complexities of voter demographics and local issues that could swing the election, along with the broader impact of U.S. politics on international relations.
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Early Polling
- Polling a year before the election is not very predictive.
- Other polls show Biden and Trump neck and neck nationally.
Campaign Effects
- Presidential campaigns typically align voter choices with their underlying values.
- This could lead to increased support for Biden among unenthusiastic Democrats.
Key Indicators
- Watch consumer confidence and presidential approval ratings.
- Also, observe voters' evolving impressions of candidates.