UNCHAINED: Why the Mt. Gox Repayments May Not Hurt the Bitcoin Price Much
Jun 28, 2024
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Alex Thorn from Galaxy discusses the minimal impact of Mt. Gox repayments on Bitcoin prices, Ethereum ETF projections, and hurdles for a Solana ETF approval. He explains why only a small fraction of bitcoins will be sold, potential market shocks, and the success of Ethereum ETFs compared to Bitcoin ETFs.
Only a small fraction of the 142,000 Bitcoins from Mt. Gox will be sold by creditors.
VanEck plans to waive fees for its Ethereum ETF until 2025 or reaching $1.5 billion in assets.
Deep dives
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Discussion on Mt. Gox Bitcoin Disbursement Process
Mt. Gox prepares to distribute 142,000 bitcoins valued at under $9 billion to creditors, initiating disbursements over several months starting in July. Creditors can opt for an early payout with a reduced amount or hold out for a larger potential recovery, facing significant tax implications if they choose to sell the received bitcoins.
VanEck's Solana ETF Filing and Ethereum ETF Fee Waiver
VanEck files for a spot Solana Exchange-traded Fund declaring Sol a commodity based on its similarities to Bitcoin and Ethereum, despite SEC classification disputes. The firm also plans to waive fees for its proposed Ethereum ETF until 2025 or asset under management reaches $1.5 billion.
Coinbase's Lawsuits Against SEC and FDIC and FTX's Reorganization Plan
Coinbase files lawsuits against the SEC and FDIC over their alleged pressure on banks to deny crypto firms access to the federal banking system. FTX initiates a Chapter 11 reorganization plan, with advisors polling creditors despite objections to the proposed plan, allowing voting until mid-August.
Galaxy’s Alex Thorn explains why the Bitcoin repayments will likely have a smaller impact on the Bitcoin price than feared. Plus, he gives a projection for inflows into spot Ethereum ETFs, and says a Solana ETF has a hard path to approval.
Ten and a half years after filing for bankruptcy, Mt. Gox is finally set to disburse 142,000 Bitcoin worth nearly $9 billion to creditors between July and October.
Market concern has been growing over the potential impact on Bitcoin prices, but Alex Thorn, head of research at Galaxy, explains why only a small fraction of those bitcoins will be sold. He also discusses the implications of this redistribution on the market, the potential success of Ethereum ETFs, and the chances of a Solana ETF approval.
Show highlights:
0:26 Why Alex estimates the amount of bitcoins that creditors sell will be a tiny fraction of the 142,000 to be repaid
11:35 What market shocks could arise from Mt. Gox creditors receiving billions in Bitcoin, and why he believes Bitcoin Cash is the real wild card
16:18 Whether Ethereum ETFs could be as successful as Bitcoin ETFs in attracting investors
21:35 Whether potential outflows from Grayscale's Ethereum Trust will dampen the excitement around Ethereum ETFs
23:38 How the combination of Mt. Gox repayments, Ethereum ETFs, and German and American government Bitcoin sales might affect crypto prices
26:03 The chances the SEC approves a spot Solana ETF
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Unchained Podcast is Produced by Laura Shin Media, LLC. Distributed by CoinDesk. Senior Producer is Michele Musso and Executive Producer is Jared Schwartz.