
GARP Risk Podcast
Geopolitical Risk: Trends, Challenges and Prognostications
Apr 14, 2024
Daniel Wagner, CEO of Country Risk Solutions, discusses the complexities of global geopolitical risk, covering topics like US-China relations, Red Sea hostilities, and the impact on market, supply chain, credit, cyber, and liquidity risks. He highlights the challenge of predicting these risks and offers insights into managing geopolitical threats. Wagner's extensive experience in assessing cross-border risk adds depth to the discussion.
22:49
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Quick takeaways
- Geopolitical conflicts impact various risk types such as market, supply-chain, credit, and cyber risks.
- Polycrisis Era demands a comprehensive approach to risk management across political, economic, technological, and socio-cultural factors.
Deep dives
Impact of Cumulative Geopolitical Conflicts
The current geopolitical landscape is marked by a multitude of conflicts, from US-China relations to wars in various regions like Israel-Hamas and Russia-Ukraine. The cumulative impact of these conflicts leads to rising costs of doing business, increased volatility, and a higher likelihood of situations spiraling out of control. Specifically, businesses may face challenges from indirect impacts, such as supply chain disruptions, cyber risks, and overall uncertainty due to the unknown unknowns that characterize the current environment.
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