Expelling mistake: the costs of hardline immigration policy
Aug 9, 2024
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In this engaging discussion, Callan Williams, a Senior economics writer at The Economist, dives into the complexities of immigration policy and its heavy economic toll. He highlights the stark public sentiment shift towards harder immigration controls. Meanwhile, Max Norman, a Culture correspondent, sheds light on the fascinating journey of breakdancing from the streets to its Olympic debut in 2024, exploring both its cultural roots and the concerns surrounding its commercialization. Together, they reveal the intricate interplay of culture and policy in today's world.
Growing anti-immigration sentiment in wealthy nations reflects economic anxieties and racial tensions, with significant public support for deportation policies.
Hardline immigration strategies may provide short-term alleviation of economic issues but risk long-term detriments to innovation and workforce sustainability.
Deep dives
Shift in Immigration Attitudes
Recent surveys indicate a significant shift in attitudes towards immigration across rich countries, with growing sentiment against both illegal and legal immigration. In the United States, more than half of the population now favors deporting all immigrants living illegally, an increase from about a third in 2016. Similar trends are observed in countries like Australia, where the perception of migration as too low has decreased notably. This rising opposition is linked to various societal factors, including economic concerns and increased incidents of racial tension.
Economic Consequences of Deportation Plans
Proposed mass deportation plans, such as Donald Trump's initiative to remove millions of undocumented immigrants, could have severe economic repercussions. Historically, large-scale deportations have led to fiscal chaos and labor shortages in critical sectors, evidenced by past actions in Canada during the Great Depression and Uganda in the 1970s. The immediate labor displacement could disrupt entire industries, forcing employers to scramble for replacements and potentially stunting economic growth. Hence, while some advocate for stricter immigration controls, the long-term economic impacts suggest careful consideration is essential.
Long-term Implications of Immigration Policy
Long-term immigration policies that favor reducing migration may yield temporary benefits, such as alleviating inflation in the housing market. However, over time, these policies could negatively affect innovation and economic productivity, as studies show that diverse populations contribute significantly to entrepreneurial success and workforce efficiency. Additionally, many rich countries face aging populations and declining workforce numbers, further complicating the need for migrant labor in essential sectors, especially healthcare. Striking a balance between public sentiment and economic necessity will challenge policymakers as they navigate these complex social dynamics.
The rich world is experiencing record migrant flows—and the attendant social upheaval. Finding immigration policies that are not economically ruinous is damnably hard. Our three-part series starts to unpack why people are so fed up with the big dating apps (11:10). And the head-spinning history of how break(danc)ing became an Olympic sport (18:44).