GDP's advance estimates, breaching 1.5C warming limit, and terrace tourism
Jan 13, 2025
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In this discussion, Udit Misra, an economic journalist from The Indian Express, highlights alarming signs in India's GDP projections, stressing the gap between potential and actual growth. Amitabh Sinha, a climate change reporter, emphasizes the grave implications of breaching the 1.5-degree Celsius warming limit by 2024, urging robust climate preparedness. The conversation also touches on the cultural phenomenon of terrace tourism in Old Ahmedabad, where locals are capitalizing on the upcoming kite festival for both tradition and economic gain.
India's GDP is experiencing a concerning slowdown, with personal spending stagnating and requiring immediate strategic interventions for growth.
The breach of the 1.5-degree Celsius limit highlights the urgent need to enhance climate action in response to inadequate emission reductions.
Deep dives
Economic Slowdown in India
India's economic output has experienced a noticeable deceleration, with real GDP growth now at a compounded annual growth rate of just 4.8%, contrasting significantly with the nearly 7% growth rate seen since the 1991 economic reforms. This slowdown reveals underlying issues, particularly that governmental and private sector spending, which together constitute a substantial portion of GDP, have not kept pace with necessary growth. The primary driver of the economy, personal spending, has stagnated, impacting businesses' willingness to invest in new capacities, which further compounds the stagnation. Experts indicate that achieving the goal of becoming a developed economy by 2047 would require consistent growth rates of 9-10%, highlighting the urgency for strategic economic interventions.
Climate Change Breaches Significant Thresholds
The year 2024 has marked a critical point as global average temperatures have risen above the crucial 1.5 degrees Celsius increase from pre-industrial levels, an expected outcome confirmed by multiple climate data agencies. This milestone is pivotal, as it reflects ongoing failures to effectively reduce greenhouse gas emissions despite international agreements like the Paris Agreement aiming to curb temperature rises. Such a breach serves as a call to action, emphasizing the inadequacy of current climate responses; the need to enhance urgency in combating climate issues is paramount. If increased temperatures persist over the coming decades, the implications for weather patterns, biodiversity, and human livelihoods could become increasingly severe.
Kite Flying Festival in Ahmedabad
The Hindu festival of Makar Sakranti, celebrated with kite flying and traditional festivities, has seen an innovative twist in Old Ahmedabad through the emergence of terrace tourism. Residents have started renting out rooftops to festival-goers, turning the occasion into a burgeoning business, with some terraces accommodating large groups, including corporate clients. Local travel firms are capitalizing on this trend by offering all-inclusive packages that enhance the festival experience with local delicacies and entertainment. This development not only preserves the cultural heritage of the region but also provides homeowners with a new source of income, showcasing how traditional practices can evolve in contemporary contexts.
First, The Indian Express's Udit Misra explains why the 'First Advance Estimates' of India’s GDP for the current financial year are a cause for concern.
Next, The Indian Express's Amitabh Sinha discusses what 2024 breaching the 1.5-degree Celsius warming limit really means and what it reveals about our climate change preparedness (15:40).
Finally, we take a look at how Old Ahmedabad is witnessing the rise of ‘terrace tourism’ in anticipation of the upcoming Uttarayan (24:34).