Ep. 254 3 Factors That Will Determine If This Supercharged Uptrend Has More Room To Run
Feb 1, 2024
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Explore the upsides of market seasonality, presidential election years, and the January Barometer with Jeffrey Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader's Almanac. Delve into factors influencing market performance, the changing role of the Federal Reserve, concerns about small cap behavior, and potential investments in the energy sector. Learn about the technical setup of the oil and gas market and its relation to geopolitical factors.
The upcoming presidential election, market seasonality, and a positive January Barometer can potentially contribute to a supercharged uptrend in the stock market.
Watching the energy index (XLE) and stocks like Virco Manufacturing (VIRC) and Super Micro Computer (SMCI) can provide insights into potential market opportunities and trends.
Deep dives
The IRC: A Seasonal Winner
The manufacturing company, IRC, has seen significant success due to its seasonal setup and strong earnings growth. The company manufactures movable furniture and equipment for schools and hospitality. With low debt, good valuations, and outperforming earnings reports, IRC has become a top pick. Since its recommendation, the stock has seen remarkable gains of over 500%, making it a standout in the market.
XLE: Potential Seasonality in Energy Sector
The energy sector, represented by XLE, is showing promising signs of potential seasonality. With the January low and the historical trend of strength from December to February, XLE is catching attention. Factors such as ongoing demand for oil and gas, geopolitical events, and a favorable macroeconomic picture contribute to its attractiveness.
SMCI: Making Waves in AI Equipment Game
Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) is an AI equipment manufacturer that has consistently performed well due to its pure-play position in the AI market. With accelerating growth in revenue and earnings, low debt, and strong performance, the stock has surged in recent years. While it is currently extended, it continues to demonstrate the potential for further gains.
Investing with the Stock Traders Almanac
The Stock Traders Almanac provides valuable data and strategies for investors. Using a combination of seasonal patterns, fundamental analysis, technical overlays, and portfolio management principles, the Almanac aims to identify stocks with potential upside. This data-driven approach helps investors stay disciplined and remove emotional biases from their decision-making process.
Market seasonality, an upcoming presidential election, and a positive January Barometer. Jeffrey Hirsch, editor of the Stock Trader’s Almanac, joins Investor’s Business Daily’s “Investing with IBD” podcast to talk about the upsides in these events. Learn about typical market behavior in a presidential election year, why the Fed just isn’t what it used to be, and why it pays to watch the energy index (XLE) and stocks like Virco Manufacturing (VIRC) and Super Micro Computer (SMCI).